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R&D Market Pulse: Debt Limit Discussions Starting to Make Waves

By R&D Editors | August 28, 2017

The R&D Market Pulse Index for the week ending August 25, 2017 closed at 3,396.13 for the 25 companies in the R&D Index. The Index was up 0.37% (or 12.57 basis points) over the week ending August 18, 2017. Twenty-two R&D Index companies gained value last week from 0.21% (Qualcomm) to 3.52% (Cisco). Three R&D Index companies lost value last week from -0.72% (Microsoft) to 1.34% (Amazon).

The U.S. federal debt limit (currently at slightly less than $20 trillion) needs to be reset by the end of the current fiscal year on September 30 or risk default. Investors are concerned about the political situation involved in these discussions and the possibility of a default as nearly occurred in 2011, when the S&P 500 fell 17% in two weeks. As a result, T-bills maturing in mid-October now have higher yields than those in late-November, an unusual situation for fixed-income securities, which typically yield more for longer maturities. The stock market has not reacted yet to these events, but is likely to over the next several weeks if a political stalemate occurs over setting a new debt limit.

News surfaced last week that China’s Great Wall Motor Co. was considering making an offer for the profitable Jeep division of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA). FCA is struggling to partner with a larger company to fund the R&D needed to develop electric and autonomous vehicles over the next ten years. China’s Geely Automobile Holdings bought Volvo from Ford Motor Co. in 2010 with the Volvo brand now prospering better than it was under Ford ownership. Ford Motor also announced last week that it would start a new company to make electric cars in China. The new company is a proposed joint venture with Anhul Zotye Automobile, an electric car specialty company, would produce cars under an indigenous brand, rather than the Ford marque. Ford already operates two other joint ventures with China’s Changan Automobile and Jiangling Motors.

European anti-trust regulators last week stated that R&D Index member Bayer AG will face deeper scrutiny than normal in its proposed takeover of Monsanto. The European Commission (EC) stated  that the proposed $57 billion deal of the two large genetically engineered seed and pesiticide companies would put pressure on European farmers who already are struggling with low crop prices. Regulators have completed their initial probes, but will need until January to fully complete their evaluations. Bayer and Monsanto have a combined 2017 R&D spending of $6.5 billion ($4.88 and $1.66 billion, respectively.)

R&D Index Week Ending August 25, 2017

  Ticker Exchange 2017 R&D billions$ 08/18/17 08/25/17 8/25/17 to 8/18/17 8/25/17 to 1/1/17
Amazon AMZN NASDAQ 17,774 958.47 945.26 -1.34% 26.06%
Alphabet/Google GOOGL NASDAQ 15,845 926.18 930.50 0.47% 17.42%
Microsoft MSFT NASDAQ 13,987 72.49 72.82 0.46% 17.19%
Intel INTC NASDAQ 13,499 35.01 34.67 -0.97% -4.41%
Apple AAPL NASDAQ 11,506 157.50 159.86 1.50% 38.02%
Volkswagen AG VLKAY OTC 11,260 30.66 31.28 2.02% 9.07%
Roche Pharm RHHBY OTC 10,174 31.23 31.60 1.18% 10.76%
Toyota TM NYSE 9,170 111.73 112.84 0.99% -3.72%
Johnson & Johnson JNJ NYSE 9,060 132.63 131.68 -0.72% 14.30%
Novartis NVS NYSE 7,870 82.76 83.53 0.93% 14.68%
General Motors GM NYSE 7,468 34.83 35.60 2.21% 2.18%
Pfizer PFE NYSE 7,288 32.67 33.39 2.20% 2.80%
Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY NYSE 6,942 56.42 58.37 3.46% -0.12%
Cisco CSCO NASDAQ 6,827 30.37 31.44 3.52% 4.04%
Qualcomm QCOM NASDAQ 6,723 51.92 52.03 0.21% -20.20%
Oracle ORCL NYSE 6,702 48.62 49.24 1.28% 28.06%
Honda HMC NYSE 6,519 27.54 27.97 1.56% -4.18%
Astra Zeneca PLC AZN NYSE 6,363 29.12 29.24 0.41% 7.03%
Merck & Co. MRK NYSE 5,759 61.49 62.94 2.36% 6.91%
Daimler DDAIY OTC 5,084 60.31 62.17 3.08% -12.09%
Bayer AG BAYN XETRA 4,880 107.90 109.00 1.02% 9.96%
Sanofi SA SNY NYSE 4,755 48.19 48.70 1.06% 20.43%
IBM IBM NYSE 4,628 139.70 143.74 2.89% -13.40%
GlaxoSmithKline GSK NYSE 4,508 38.75 39.47 1.86% 2.49%
Eli Lilly Co LLY NYSE 4,489 77.07 78.79 2.23% 7.12%
Total     209,080 3,383.56 3,396.13 0.37% 13.87%
               
    Biopharmaceutical 698.23 706.71 1.21% 9.51%
    Automotive 265.07 269.86 1.81% -3.84%
    ICT   1,461.79 1,474.30 0.86% 12.84%

About the R&D Market Pulse Index

R&D Magazine’s R&D Market Pulse Index is a weekly stock market summary of the top international companies involved in research and development. The top 25 industrial spenders of R&D in 2017 were selected based on the latest listings from Schonfeld & Associates’ June 2017 R&D Ratios & Budgets. These 25 companies include pharmaceutical (11 companies), automotive (5), ICT  (8) and conglomerate (1) organizations who invested a cumulative total of more than $209 billion in R&D in 2017, or approximately 10% of all the R&D spent in the world by government, industries and academia combined, according to R&D Magazine’s 2017 Global R&D Funding Forecast. The stock prices used in the R&D Index are tabulated from NASDAQ, NYSE, XETRA and OTC common stock prices (in U.S. dollars) for the companies selected at the close of stock trading business on the Friday preceding the publication of the R&D Index in R&D Magazine’s R&D Daily eNewsletter.

The companies used in the R&D Index include Amazon, Alphabet/Google, Microsoft, Intel, Apple, Volkswagen AG, Roche Pharma, Toyota, Johnson & Johnson, Novartis, General Motors, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Cisco, Qualcomm, Oracle, Honda Motor Company, Astra Zeneca plc, Merck & Company, Daimler, Bayer AG, Sanofi SA, IBM, GlaxoSmithKline and Eli Lilly Co. Stock prices are based on those stocks traded on the U.S. exchanges. R&D Index trends (in the stock prices) are just one indicator of the amount of capital available to these high-technology companies to invest in R&D and should not be implied to indicate the absolute value of R&D investments made by these organizations. The companies chosen for the R&D Index have very large sophisticated internal and global R&D organizations with each company investing between $4.5 and $17 billion annually on their R&D efforts.

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