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R&D Market Pulse: New R&D Investments Expected for Trump’s Space Force and in China

By R&D Editors | August 13, 2018

The R&D Index for the week ending August 10, 2018 closed at 4,753.37 for the 25 companies in the R&D Index. The Index was up 1.57% (or 73.49 basis points) from the week ending August 3, 2018. Nine R&D Index companies gained value last week from 0.21% (Merck & Co.) to 3.46% (Amazon). Sixteen R&D Index companies lost value last week from -0.22% (Apple Computer) to -5.38% (Toyota).

The Trump Administration last week outlined details for the creation of a sixth branch of the U.S. military—the U.S. Space Force—to defend and protect U.S. resources in space. Creation of the Space Force requires approval by the Congress, however reports state that the Pentagon will start creation—which is expected to take about a year—even before Congressional approval. A proposal is expected to be presented to Congress early in 2019. The Space Force is claimed to be budget neutral, but will require creation of a substantial infrastructure. R&D investments will be an integral part of the Space Force which will likely include increases in DARPA spending.

The Bank of China last week announced that it will greatly increase its investment in innovation-based Chinese R&D. The Bank is one of the four state-owned banks and it expects its R&D investments to be more than 1% of its operating income, according to bank officers. The Bank plans to focus its investments on cloud computing, big data and artificial intelligence.

Economy update

The U.S. Treasury Dept. reported on Friday that the Federal budget deficit widened 21% in the first 10 months of the 2018 fiscal year (October 2017 to July 2018) by $684 billion. The deficit increased partly due to reduced tax rates and increased government spending.

Economists have boosted the U.S. growth rate (GDP) for the remainder of 2018 to 3.0% which increased from a 2.9% forecast in July and 2.4% in 2017. The analysts expect the economic growth to continue into 2019 due to the tax cuts and increased federal spending, but expect the beginnings of a recession to appear after that. The average growth forecast for 2020 is now expected to be 1.8%, which is down from 2.0% quoted in early 2018. The increasing inflation rate and the Fed’s reciprocal interest rate hikes will both act in concert to keep future economic growth rates subdued, according to the analysts.

R&D Index Week Ending August 10, 2018

    Ticker Exchange 2018 R&D millions U.S. $ 08/03/18 08/10/18 8/10/18 to 8/3/18 8/10/18 to 12/29/17
1 Amazon AMZN NASDAQ 26,750 1,823.29 1,886.30 3.46% 61.30%
2 Alphabet/Google GOOGL NASDAQ 18,796 1,223.71 1,252.51 2.35% 18.90%
3 Apple AAPL NASDAQ 14,037 207.99 207.53 -0.22% 22.63%
4 Intel INTC NASDAQ 13,702 49.63 48.85 -1.57% 5.83%
5 Microsoft MSFT NASDAQ 13,558 108.04 109.00 0.89% 27.43%
6 Roche Pharm RHHBY OTC 12,284 30.91 30.03 -2.85% -4.91%
7 Johnson & Johnson JNJ NYSE 11,493 131.95 130.75 -0.91% -6.42%
8 Merck & Co. MRK NYSE 11,323 65.93 66.07 0.21% 17.42%
9 Volkswagen AG VLKAY OTC 10,915 33.18 32.33 -2.86% -20.05%
10 Toyota TM NYSE 10,848 131.30 124.23 -5.38% -2.31%
11 Novartis NVS NYSE 8,934 83.33 82.10 -1.48% -2.22%
12 Honda HMC NYSE 8,180 30.66 30.09 -1.86% -11.71%
13 Pfizer PFE NYSE 7,942 40.54 40.93 0.96% 13.00%
14 Daimler DDAIY OTC 7,615 67.48 65.41 -3.07% -22.65%
15 General Motors GM NYSE 7,278 37.73 36.59 -3.02% -10.73%
16 Oracle ORCL NYSE 7,001 48.47 48.32 -0.31% 2.20%
17 Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY NYSE 6,981 59.16 59.31 0.25% -3.21%
18 Eli Lilly Co LLY NYSE 6,769 100.58 102.25 1.66% 21.06%
19 GlaxoSmithKline GSK NYSE 6,394 40.82 40.15 -1.64% 13.19%
20 Cisco CSCO NASDAQ 6,009 42.83 43.78 2.22% 14.31%
21 IBM IBM NYSE 5,842 147.70 144.48 -2.18% -5.83%
22 Bayer AG BAYN OTC 5,743 27.58 26.59 -3.59% -14.47%
23 Astra Zeneca PLC AZN NYSE 5,483 38.66 39.38 1.86% 13.49%
24 Qualcomm QCOM NASDAQ 5,183 65.40 64.82 -0.89% 1.25%
25 Sanofi SA SNY NYSE 4,694 43.01 41.57 -3.35% -3.33%
  Total     243,754 4,679.88 4,753.37 1.57% 25.36%
                 
      Biopharmaceutical 662.47 659.13 -0.50% 3.35%
      Automotive 300.35 288.65 -3.89% -11.79%
      ICT   1,893.77 1,919.29 1.35% 15.80%

About the R&D Index

R&D Magazine’s R&D Market Pulse R&D Index is a weekly stock market summary of the top international companies involved in research and development. The top 25 industrial spenders of R&D in 2017 were selected based on the latest listings from Schonfeld & Associates’ June 2018 R&D Ratios & Budgets. These 25 companies include pharmaceutical (11 companies), automotive (5), ICT (8) and conglomerate (1) organizations who invested a cumulative total of more than $209 billion in R&D in 2017, or approximately 10% of all the R&D spent in the world by government, industries and academia combined, according to R&D Magazine’s 2018 Global R&D Funding Forecast. The stock prices used in the R&D Index are tabulated from NASDAQ, NYSE, XETRA and OTC common stock prices (in U.S. dollars) for the companies selected at the close of stock trading business on the Friday preceding the publication of the R&D Index in R&D Magazine’s R&D Daily eNewsletter.

The companies used in the R&D Index include Amazon, Alphabet/Google, Microsoft, Intel, Apple, Volkswagen AG, Roche Pharma, Toyota, Johnson & Johnson, Novartis, General Motors, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Cisco, Qualcomm, Oracle, Honda Motor Company, Astra Zeneca plc, Merck & Company, Daimler, Bayer AG, Sanofi SA, IBM, GlaxoSmithKline and Eli Lilly Co. Stock prices are based on those stocks traded on the U.S. exchanges. R&D Index trends (in the stock prices) are just one indicator of the amount of capital available to these high-technology companies to invest in R&D and should not be implied to indicate the absolute value of R&D investments made by these organizations. The companies chosen for the R&D Index have very large sophisticated internal and global R&D organizations with each company investing between $4.5 and $17 billion annually on their R&D efforts.

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